Upper Deck or Lower Lounge? Where Are Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd (TVE.TO) Shares Headed?

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd (TVE.TO) are on trader’s watchlists today as the shares have moved below a key Mass Index level of 26.5.  When Donald Dorsey developed the Mass Index indicator, his rationale was that if the prevailing trend were going to change, the price range would have to widen. Dorsey looked for “reversal bulges” to signal a trend reversal. According to Dorsey, a bulge occurs when the Mass Index moves above 27. This initial bulge does not complete the signal though. Dorsey waited for this bulge to reverse with a move back below 26.50. Once the reversal bulge is complete, traders should use other analysis techniques to determine the direction of the next move.

Investors have a few distinct options when approaching the stock market. One option is to follow the crowd and trade with the consensus. Another way is to go against the herd and adopt a contrarian strategy. When it comes down to it, the investor will typically have to make this decision with their best interests in mind. In general, no investor wants to miss out on a winning stock. Far too often, investors will be overcome with the fear of missing out and get into a stock way too late. Just because a stock has been over performing and seeing large gains does not mean that those gains are going to continue into the future. Investors may be too quick to get into a hot stock without putting in the proper time and energy to research whether or not it is still a good stock at current trading levels. Investors who take the time to do their homework for every trade may find themselves a step ahead of the crowd in the long run.

Investors are keeping a close eye on levels of Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd (TVE.TO). The Average Directional Index or ADX is a technical analysis indicator used to describe if a market is trending or not trending. The ADX alone measures trend strength but not direction. Using the ADX with the Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) may help determine the direction of the trend as well as the overall momentum. Many traders will use the ADX alongside other indicators in order to help spot proper trading entry/exit points. After a recent check, the 14-day ADX is 16.18. Generally speaking, an ADX value from 0-25 would indicate an absent or weak trend. A value of 25-50 would indicate a strong trend. A value of 50-75 would signal a very strong trend, and a value of 75-100 would indicate an extremely strong trend.

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd (TVE.TO) presently has a 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of 66.11. Typically, the CCI oscillates above and below a zero line. Normal oscillations tend to stay in the range of -100 to +100. A CCI reading of +100 may represent overbought conditions, while readings near -100 may indicate oversold territory. Although the CCI indicator was developed for commodities, it has become a popular tool for equity evaluation as well. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of stock price movements. The RSI was developed by J. Welles Wilder, and it oscillates between 0 and 100. Generally, the RSI is considered to be oversold when it falls below 30 and overbought when it heads above 70. RSI can be used to detect general trends as well as finding divergences and failure swings. The 14-day RSI is currently at 50.69, the 7-day stands at 58.57, and the 3-day is sitting at 76.82.

Taking a peek at some Moving Averages, the 200-day is at 3.71, and the 50-day is 2.21. Dedicated investors may be looking to employ another tool for doing technical stock analysis. The Williams Percent Range or Williams %R is a technical indicator that was designed to measure overbought and oversold market conditions. The Williams %R indicator helps show the relative situation of the current price close to the period being observed. Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd (TVE.TO)’s Williams Percent Range or 14 day Williams %R presently is at -14.29. In general, if the reading goes above -20, the stock may be considered to be overbought. Alternately, if the indicator goes under -80, this may show the stock as being oversold.

Beginner traders have the tendency to make many mistakes when starting out. Although this comes with the territory, continually making the same mistakes will most likely put the trader on the sidelines very quickly. Learning from previous mistakes is what helps transform a mediocre trader into a good one. Successful traders are highly adept at creating detailed plans, managing risk, and reviewing previous trading records. Scooping up profits from the stock market is no easy task. Even with the best intentions and preparation, things may not work out as planned. Taking a look at the market from various angles may help the trader see the bigger picture. Market environments are constantly changing, and traders need to be ready for these changes and adapt accordingly in order to be successful over the long-term.