Return on Equity & Quant Signal Update for Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF), SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX)

Today we are spotlighting shares of Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) and looking at how the firm stacks up in terms of valuation by the numbers.  One of the most important ratios to look at when weighing an investment decision is the Return on Equity of the company.  At the time of writing Contango Oil & Gas Company has an ROE of -0.665609. With ROE, Investors can see if they’re getting a good return on their money, while a company can evaluate how efficiently they’re utilizing shareholder’s equity.

Investors will be closely watching which way market momentum will shift as we cruise into the back half of the year. Earnest investors will most likely be pouring over the latest earnings reports trying to spot buying opportunities. Many investors will pay especially close attention to companies that have posted large surprise factors over the past quarter. As the dust settles, investors might be monitoring stock price activity following the earning release in order to set up a plan for trading around the next earnings season.

Drilling down into some additional metrics, we note that Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) has a Price to Book ratio of 0.926580. This ratio is calculated by dividing the current share price by the book value per share. Investors may use Price to Book to display how the market portrays the value of a stock. Checking in on some other ratios, the company has a Price to Cash Flow ratio of 3.853069, and a current Price to Earnings ratio of -1.392079. The P/E ratio is one of the most common ratios used for figuring out whether a company is overvalued or undervalued.

After a recent scan, we can see that Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) has a Shareholder Yield of -0.004412 and a Shareholder Yield (Mebane Faber) of -0.31571. The first value is calculated by adding the dividend yield to the percentage of repurchased shares. The second value adds in the net debt repaid yield to the calculation. Shareholder yield has the ability to show how much money the firm is giving back to shareholders via a few different avenues. Companies may issue new shares and buy back their own shares. This may occur at the same time. Investors may also use shareholder yield to gauge a baseline rate of return.

The Return on Invested Capital (aka ROIC) for Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) is -0.320114.  The Return on Invested Capital is a ratio that determines whether a company is profitable or not.  It tells investors how well a company is turning their capital into profits.  The ROIC is calculated by dividing the net operating profit (or EBIT) by the employed capital.  The employed capital is calculated by subrating current liabilities from total assets.  Similarly, the Return on Invested Capital Quality ratio is a tool in evaluating the quality of a company’s ROIC over the course of five years.  The ROIC Quality of Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) is 2.156051.  This is calculated by dividing the five year average ROIC by the Standard Deviation of the 5 year ROIC.  The ROIC 5 year average is calculated using the five year average EBIT, five year average (net working capital and net fixed assets).  The ROIC 5 year average of Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) is -0.164150.

The Earnings to Price yield of Contango Oil & Gas Company AMEX:MCF is -0.718350.  This is calculated by taking the earnings per share and dividing it by the last closing share price.  This is one of the most popular methods investors use to evaluate a company’s financial performance.  Earnings Yield is calculated by taking the operating income or earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and dividing it by the Enterprise Value of the company.  The Earnings Yield for Contango Oil & Gas Company AMEX:MCF is -0.438974.  Earnings Yield helps investors measure the return on investment for a given company.  Similarly, the Earnings Yield Five Year Average is the five year average operating income or EBIT divided by the current enterprise value.  The Earnings Yield Five Year average for Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) is -0.430192.

Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) currently has a Montier C-score of 2.00000. This indicator was developed by James Montier in an attempt to identify firms that were cooking the books in order to appear better on paper. The score ranges from zero to six where a 0 would indicate no evidence of book cooking, and a 6 would indicate a high likelihood. A C-score of -1 would indicate that there is not enough information available to calculate the score. Montier used six inputs in the calculation. These inputs included a growing difference between net income and cash flow from operations, increasing receivable days, growing day’s sales of inventory, increasing other current assets, decrease in depreciation relative to gross property plant and equipment, and high total asset growth.

At the time of writing, Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) has a Piotroski F-Score of 2. The F-Score may help discover companies with strengthening balance sheets. The score may also be used to spot the weak performers. Joseph Piotroski developed the F-Score which employs nine different variables based on the company financial statement. A single point is assigned to each test that a stock passes. Typically, a stock scoring an 8 or 9 would be seen as strong. On the other end, a stock with a score from 0-2 would be viewed as weak.

Shifting gears, we can see that Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF) has a Q.i. Value of 67.00000. The Q.i. Value ranks companies using four ratios. These ratios consist of EBITDA Yield, FCF Yield, Liquidity, and Earnings Yield. The purpose of the Q.i. Value is to help identify companies that are the most undervalued. Typically, the lower the value, the more undervalued the company tends to be.

Volatility

Watching some historical volatility numbers on shares of Contango Oil & Gas Company (AMEX:MCF), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 78.931300. The 6 month volatility is 75.926300, and the 3 month is spotted at 82.954400. Following volatility data can help measure how much the stock price has fluctuated over the specified time period. Although past volatility action may help project future stock volatility, it may also be vastly different when taking into account other factors that may be driving price action during the measured time period.

Investors may be circling the wagons wondering what’s in store for the stock market over the next few months. Capitalizing on the current trends may be just what the doctor ordered. Searching for value in the current investing landscape may be a priority for some investors. The mindset of one investor may be completely different from another. Sometimes stocks that look too good to be true actually are, and those that are actually very good may not look that enticing. Keeping a close watch on technicals and fundamentals may be a good way to start filtering through the vast sea of equities. Many stock enthusiasts will also keep a sharp focus on positive estimate revisions to help gain an edge in the markets. Whatever the strategy, investors will no doubt be searching far and wide for consistent outperformers.

Placing SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) shares under the microscope we note that the firm has a current Return on Equity of -0.003863.  Simply put, this ratio determines how well the firm uses investment funds to generate profit.  This ratio is often considered “the mother of all ratios” as it often reveals how well a company is operating.

Typically bull markets are times when investors may be willing to be a bit more speculative with stock selection. Managing risk is generally at the forefront of many strategies. Investors trying to shift the odds in their favor may be searching for the perfect balance and diversification to help mitigate the risk and enjoy healthier profits. With so many different stocks to choose from, it may take a while to zoom in or a particular set. Investors will also be watching the next wave of economic data to get a better sense of how the overall economy is fairing. With so much noise in the markets, it may be necessary to narrow the gaze in order to set the table for success. Investors may be on the lookout for the major catalyst that either keeps the bulls charging into the second half the year, or wakes up the sleeping bears.

In additiona to ROE, investors might also take into consideration some other ratios.  One of the most popular ratios is the “Return on Assets” (aka ROA).  This score indicates how profitable a company is relative to its total assets.  The Return on Assets for SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) is -0.002124.  This number is calculated by dividing net income after tax by the company’s total assets.  A company that manages their assets well will have a higher return, while a company that manages their assets poorly will have a lower return.

The Return on Invested Capital (aka ROIC) for SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) is 0.057447.  The Return on Invested Capital is a ratio that determines whether a company is profitable or not.  It tells investors how well a company is turning their capital into profits.  The ROIC is calculated by dividing the net operating profit (or EBIT) by the employed capital.  The employed capital is calculated by subrating current liabilities from total assets.  Similarly, the Return on Invested Capital Quality ratio is a tool in evaluating the quality of a company’s ROIC over the course of five years.  The ROIC Quality of SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) is 2.072210.  This is calculated by dividing the five year average ROIC by the Standard Deviation of the 5 year ROIC.  The ROIC 5 year average is calculated using the five year average EBIT, five year average (net working capital and net fixed assets).  The ROIC 5 year average of SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) is -0.010175.

After a recent scan, we can see that SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) has a Shareholder Yield of -0.371828 and a Shareholder Yield (Mebane Faber) of -0.46928. The first value is calculated by adding the dividend yield to the percentage of repurchased shares. The second value adds in the net debt repaid yield to the calculation. Shareholder yield has the ability to show how much money the firm is giving back to shareholders via a few different avenues. Companies may issue new shares and buy back their own shares. This may occur at the same time. Investors may also use shareholder yield to gauge a baseline rate of return.

Quant Scores

Checking in on some valuation rankings, SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) has a Value Composite score of 63. Developed by James O’Shaughnessy, the VC score uses five valuation ratios. These ratios are price to earnings, price to cash flow, EBITDA to EV, price to book value, and price to sales. The VC is displayed as a number between 1 and 100. In general, a company with a score closer to 0 would be seen as undervalued, and a score closer to 100 would indicate an overvalued company. Adding a sixth ratio, shareholder yield, we can view the Value Composite 2 score which is currently sitting at 71.

Investors may be interested in viewing the Gross Margin score on shares of SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX). The name currently has a score of 26.00000. This score is derived from the Gross Margin (Marx) stability and growth over the previous eight years. The Gross Margin score lands on a scale from 1 to 100 where a score of 1 would be considered positive, and a score of 100 would be seen as negative.

SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) has a current MF Rank of 10069. Developed by hedge fund manager Joel Greenblatt, the intention of the formula is to spot high quality companies that are trading at an attractive price. The formula uses ROIC and earnings yield ratios to find quality, undervalued stocks. In general, companies with the lowest combined rank may be the higher quality picks.

SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) has a current ERP5 Rank of 12699. The ERP5 Rank may assist investors with spotting companies that are undervalued. This ranking uses four ratios. These ratios are Earnings Yield, ROIC, Price to Book, and 5 year average ROIC. When looking at the ERP5 ranking, it is generally considered the lower the value, the better.

Price Index & Volatility

Stock volatility is a percentage that indicates whether a stock is a desirable purchase.  Investors look at the Volatility 12m to determine if a company has a low volatility percentage or not over the course of a year.  The Volatility 12m of SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) is 43.889700.  This is calculated by taking weekly log normal returns and standard deviation of the share price over one year annualized.  The lower the number, a company is thought to have low volatility.  The Volatility 3m is a similar percentage determined by the daily log normal returns and standard deviation of the share price over 3 months.  The Volatility 3m of SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) is 75.829800.  The Volatility 6m is the same, except measured over the course of six months.  The Volatility 6m is 64.856700.

With equity investing, there will constantly be worries and fears. The volatility in the market that accompanies these fears may trick investors into thinking the next bear market is on the doorstep. During a market-wide sell off, many stocks may experience the pain. Over time, many may gain back the ground they lost and return to previous levels. The biggest names may be the ones to recoup the losses the quickest. However, many investors might get stuck waiting for a rebound that just isn’t going to happen. Having the flexibility to adapt to market conditions may help repair a damaged portfolio. Sometimes a readjustment may be needed in order to regain some confidence. As the next round of earnings reports start to come in, investors will be keeping a close watch to see which companies produce the largest surprises, both positive and negative.

We can now take a quick look at some historical stock price index data. SMTC Corporation (NasdaqGM:SMTX) presently has a 10 month price index of 2.62911. The price index is calculated by dividing the current share price by the share price ten months ago. A ratio over one indicates an increase in share price over the period. A ratio lower than one shows that the price has decreased over that time period. Looking at some alternate time periods, the 12 month price index is 2.58255, the 24 month is 4.11765, and the 36 month is 4.55285. Narrowing in a bit closer, the 5 month price index is 2.07407, the 3 month is 2.05128, and the 1 month is currently 1.47368.